UK in chaos, can post-Truss pave the way for a Johnson2?

UK in chaos, can post-Truss pave the way for a Johnson2?

“Like Cincinnatus I will return to my plough,” said Boris Johnson as he left Downing Street

last September 6th. And by quoting the character from ancient Rome, he immediately made one think of the promise of a return to politics.

Now, after the resignation of Liz Truss, that quote also takes on the contours of a foresight, while the race for the Tory leadership is reopening. It is indicated from many sides Rishi SunakBoJo’s chancellor of the Exchequer, as a natural candidate to succeed Truss: he was second in the

electoral competition of the Conservative party which took place in the summer. But the great return of Boris looms, so much so that the Times was the first, closely followed by the well-informed Daily Telegraph, shortly after Truss’s brief farewell speech at the Downing Street door, already quoting sources close to the former prime minister on the possibility: “He is polling , but he seems to believe it is a matter of national interest.”

The 1922 Committee Rules

Meanwhile the ‘Committee 1922‘ he established the rules for the new election of the party leader, establishing that only three could be candidates. That in order to do so each one must have the support of at least 100 deputies out of a total of around 350 and that the names can be presented until 2pm on Monday. And in the absence of official confirmation, the list of names is currently drawn up by the media and polls.

The return of BoJo?

From a Yougov survey released last October 18, only two days before Truss’s resignation therefore, Johnson appeared to be in the lead with 32% of the preferences for the replacement of Truss, considered ‘possible’ at the time of the poll. Following, but separated by 23%, is the former Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunakthen the Minister of Defense Ben Wallace at 10%, then Penny Mordaunt to 9% (which emerged third from the vote in the summer), Kemi Badenoch at 8% and Jeremy Hunt at 7%.

The latter – moderate Conservative called to 11 Downing Street after the resignation of Chancellor Kwarteg but in essence with a sort of commissioner role in the now moribund Truss government – has walked out for now, stating that he does not want to run for Tory leadership. While Mordaunt is “evaluating”. Wallace – a respected defense minister – in the last race for the leadership had remained neutral to the end, before confirming his support for Truss. And whoever mentions his name considers him a candidate because he is capable of restoring unity in the party. Pragmatism and unity would also be the key words for a possible candidacy of the current Minister of Justice Brandon Lewis, and in the name of these he would have already been encouraged to run. Finally, the former Interior Minister Suella Braverman, the last to resign from the Truss government who in her ‘apology-motivations’ had also criticized the government’s actions, is added to the list.

Confirmations are awaited. For the moment the only ones to express themselves clearly are bookmakers, betting on Rishi Sunak. He is the super favourite, given for 11/10. Follows Penny Mordaunt for 7/2 and Ben Wallace 8/1. But Johnson would have decided to interrupt his holidays in the Dominican Republic and would be returning to London, according to the Sun. Ready to subvert the predictions.

international reactions

The news of Liz Truss’s resignation also risks affecting the internal balance of the kingdom and throwing further uncertainty on the international scene.

Always “sad to see a colleague leave,” said the French president Emmanuel Macron yesterday in Brussels, agreeing however that the most important aspect is that Great Britain regains political stability soon.

Opinion shared by the Irish Prime Minister Michael Martin:

“The United Kingdom is among our major trading partners and beyond – he declared – I believe that stability is very important and we would like the British system, within the limits of its capabilities, to be able to choose a successor as quickly as possible” .

At the White House, reporters asked the President of the United States Joe Biden if Truss had made the right decision. Biden he avoided exposing himself to the internal affairs of the United Kingdom, declaring, however, that he felt calm about the economic repercussions on the United States.

The Scottish premier, who aspires to a new referendum for independence, has called for early elections.

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